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Why a Republican 'wave' never happened


Why a Republican "wave" never happened

With inflation at 8% and poor approval ratings for the Democratic president, Republicans were hoping to make big strides in retaking Congress. Why hasn"t that happened?

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Pollsters and pundits for weeks warned of an impending "red wave" - an electoral Republican rout which would deliver a harsh rebuke of Joe Biden and the Democrats.

As the sun rose across the US on Wednesday, however, it became clear that the "tsunami" Republicans had hoped for never materialised.

While the party has made modest gains and remains favoured to win the House of Representatives, the Senate remained hotly contested and the Democrats have performed better than expected. Why?


It wasn"t all about the economy

Inflation and the economy - while top of the list of voter concerns - proved not to be as damaging to Democrats as they had feared.

Analysts said that may reflect the fact that the economy, while slowing, has remained relatively healthy. Though the cost of living is rising, growth has continued and unemployment remains low.

"People don"t love the economy, but they"re not getting laid off, which allowed other issues like abortion, like immigration, like the "Big Lie" on the right to instead dominate the closing weeks of the election," said pollster Chris Jackson, senior vice president at Ipsos.

Concerns about the economy also reflect the country"s polarisation.

While Democrats" views have darkened this year, they tend to remain more positive than Republicans and independents, ranking such economic concerns behind other issues, such as climate change, racism and abortion.

The spectre of Donald Trump kept those issues alive and helped to keep the Democratic base motivated to vote.

 



Post by momo :: Date 2022-11-10 14:32:34


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